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António Guterres Warns of “Boiling Point” in India-Pakistan Relations, No Words on Islamist Terror Groups Operationg on Pakistan’s Soil

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United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres has issued a grave warning over the rapidly escalating tensions between India and Pakistan, declaring that the two nuclear-armed neighbors have reached a “boiling point” that could spiral into a full-scale military confrontation. Addressing a United Nations Security Council meeting on Monday, Guterres urged both countries to exercise maximum restraint and emphasized the urgent need for dialogue to avoid a conflict that could “spin out of control.”

The Secretary-General’s statement comes in the wake of several provocative developments that have deepened mistrust between the South Asian rivals. On May 3, Pakistan test-fired its Abdali ballistic missile—a surface-to-surface weapon with a range of 450 kilometers—claiming it was a routine exercise to test operational readiness and technological improvements. However, the test occurred just days after the April 22 terror attack in Pahalgam, Jammu and Kashmir, where 26 Hindu tourists were killed. India has blamed the attack on Pakistan-based militants, a charge Pakistan strongly denies.

The situation has further deteriorated with reports of “credible intelligence” received by India suggesting a possible strike by Pakistan within the next 36 hours, intensifying fears of military retaliation. The ongoing territorial dispute over Kashmir—an unresolved issue since both nations gained independence from British rule in 1947—continues to be the flashpoint for conflict. India and Pakistan have fought three wars, two of them over Kashmir, and regular skirmishes along the Line of Control (LoC) have become routine.

Here is the complete statement:

What sets the current crisis apart is the scale of the response from both sides. In the days following the Pahalgam attack and the missile test, both nations expelled each other’s diplomats, recalled citizens, and shut down mutual airspace. India suspended mail services and trade with Pakistan, while cross-border firing has surged, marking the most serious confrontation since the 2019 Pulwama-Balakot standoff.

Both India and Pakistan are nuclear powers, with India possessing an estimated 164 warheads and Pakistan 170. Though nuclear weapons have never been used in their conflicts, the existence of such arsenals significantly raises the risks of miscalculation or escalation.

Guterres, who previously expressed concern over the rising hostilities on April 29, reiterated the UN’s readiness to mediate or facilitate dialogue, though both countries have historically resisted third-party involvement in bilateral issues. The UN chief called on the international community to support de-escalation and prevent further deterioration of the situation, warning that continued provocations could have “catastrophic regional and global consequences.”

As tensions continue to rise, observers worldwide are closely monitoring developments, hoping diplomacy will prevail over conflict in one of the world’s most volatile geopolitical rivalries.

Pakistan Warns of Looming Agricultural Crisis Amid 21% Drop in Chenab River Inflow from India

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Pakistan’s Indus River System Authority (IRSA) has sounded the alarm over a sharp 21% decline in the Chenab River’s water inflow, attributing the shortfall to actions taken by India. The reduced water flow, recorded as of early 2025, threatens to severely disrupt the Kharif crop season, which begins in June and includes vital, water-dependent crops such as rice, cotton, and sugarcane.

In a statement issued on Monday, IRSA reported that the advisory committee, chaired by Zahid Hussain Junejo and comprising representatives from all provinces, had initially forecast potential water stress during its September 25, 2024, meeting. The committee noted a marked reduction in Chenab inflows starting January 11, 2025. The shortfall, occurring during the early stages of crop planning and sowing, could result in significant losses to Pakistan’s agricultural sector, which remains heavily dependent on irrigation from the Indus River system.

The Chenab River is one of the three Western Rivers granted to Pakistan under the Indus Waters Treaty (IWT) of 1960, a water-sharing agreement brokered by the World Bank. While India holds control over the Eastern Rivers — Ravi, Beas, and Sutlej — it is obligated to allow unimpeded flow of the Western Rivers to Pakistan. However, Pakistan has repeatedly accused India of undermining this agreement by building infrastructure such as dams and diversion tunnels that allegedly restrict or alter natural water flow.

ISRA Release
ISRA’s Press Release

Among the projects raising concerns in Pakistan is India’s Shahpurkandi Dam, completed in 2024 on the Ravi River. Although the dam lies on an Eastern River, its cumulative impact, alongside other Indian projects on the Chenab, has triggered suspicions of strategic water manipulation. Pakistan has taken up the matter with the World Bank, but concrete resolutions remain elusive.

IRSA’s statement emphasized the urgency of intra-national cooperation, urging Pakistan’s provinces to set aside political differences and coordinate efforts to manage the crisis. With the late Kharif season being critical for food production and economic stability, prolonged water shortages could worsen Pakistan’s already precarious food security outlook.

The crisis comes amid a broader backdrop of regional climate instability, reduced snowmelt, and erratic monsoons. Analysts from institutions like the Stimson Center have pointed out that, alongside external threats, Pakistan faces internal policy hurdles — including elite capture of water resources, inefficient irrigation practices, and stalled dam projects like Kalabagh.

Proposals for cooperative water management — such as diverting surplus Chenab waters to Eastern Rivers in return for managed flow into Pakistan — have yet to materialize. Meanwhile, Pakistan continues to invest in storage infrastructure like the Diamer-Bhasha Dam, though progress remains slow due to political and financial constraints.

As tensions over water intensify, the current Chenab River inflow crisis serves as a stark reminder of the fragility of Indo-Pak water diplomacy and the need for renewed dialogue and adherence to the Indus Waters Treaty to ensure long-term regional stability.

DRDO and Indian Navy Successfully Test Indigenous Multi-Influence Ground Mine (MIGM)

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In a major boost to India’s maritime defense preparedness, the Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) and the Indian Navy have successfully completed technical trials of the indigenously developed Multi-Influence Ground Mine (MIGM). Conducted on May 5, 2025, the test marks the culmination of the technology demonstration phase, showcasing India’s growing prowess in advanced underwater warfare systems.

The MIGM is a state-of-the-art naval mine equipped with a combination of acoustic, magnetic, and pressure sensors, enabling it to detect and neutralize enemy vessels with high precision. Its versatile detection system makes it a formidable asset in sea denial operations, crucial for safeguarding India’s strategic maritime zones.

This achievement aligns with DRDO’s broader mission to reduce reliance on foreign defense imports, which still account for over 50% of India’s defense acquisitions. According to DRDO officials, the successful trial is a step forward in achieving defense self-reliance and boosting the indigenous military industrial base.

Here is the video:

The timing of the development is particularly significant given the rising geopolitical tensions in the Indo-Pacific region, especially in hotspots like the South China Sea and Taiwan Straits. Naval mine warfare has gained renewed importance as nations bolster asymmetrical capabilities. China’s People’s Liberation Army-Navy (PLAN), which maintains the region’s largest modern minesweeping fleet, poses a strategic challenge that India’s MIGM aims to counter.

Historically, naval mines have played a vital role in maritime defense, dating back to 16th-century China. Today, their importance in controlling chokepoints and deterring hostile naval activity is undisputed. The MIGM thus represents a key addition to India’s arsenal in securing its sea lanes and countering potential threats.

Following the successful test, DRDO is set to transfer the MIGM technology to private defense manufacturers as part of its public-private collaboration model. Similar arrangements were made for indigenous products like the Ugram assault rifle and N99 nanomesh masks. This initiative is expected to accelerate mass production and strengthen India’s defense ecosystem.

The test of the MIGM underscores India’s strategic commitment to maritime security and its pursuit of technological sovereignty in the face of regional security challenges. As the Indo-Pacific evolves into a theater of great-power competition, indigenous innovations like the MIGM will play a critical role in preserving India’s strategic autonomy and naval edge.

MHA Asks States to Conduct Nationwide Civil Defense Mock Drills on May 7 Amid Rising Tensions

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In a significant move to enhance national security readiness, the Ministry of Home Affairs has directed states and union territories to carry out comprehensive civil defense mock drills across the country on May 7. The drills are part of a broader initiative to strengthen preparedness for potential hostile attacks and ensure the safety of both civilians and critical infrastructure.

The nationwide exercise will involve the activation of air raid warning sirens—an emergency protocol rooted in India’s past during the Indo-Pakistan wars of 1965 and 1971. Measures will also include crash blackouts, camouflaging of key installations, and the rehearsal of mass evacuation plans.

Civilian participation is central to the initiative, with special training programs being conducted in schools and public institutions to educate people on emergency response and self-protection techniques. The drills will simulate real-life threat scenarios, assessing the readiness of local authorities, inter-agency coordination, and public response.

This step comes amid growing geopolitical tensions and renewed focus on national resilience. A 2022 report by the Ministry of Home Affairs identified 777 critical sites—ranging from economic hubs to strategic assets—as potential high-risk targets, underlining the urgent need for advanced civil defense mechanisms.

The Details

The National Critical Information Infrastructure Protection Centre (NCIIPC), operating under the Information Technology Act of 2000, continues to play a key role in securing India’s digital and physical infrastructure.

Recent mock drills in the Delhi-NCR region—triggered by hoax bomb threats targeting over 250 schools—offered a preview of the kind of scenarios that will be tested nationwide. Those operations involved airports, metro stations, and key government facilities, helping refine emergency protocols.

As India readies for the May 7 exercise, officials emphasize that civil preparedness is not just a defense priority but a national responsibility. The drills are expected to provide crucial insights and reinforce India’s ability to respond swiftly and effectively to a range of conventional and emerging threats.

Drone Footage Sparks Outcry After Kulgam Suspect Drowns During Terror Probe

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A high-stakes counter-terror operation in Kulgam district turned controversial after a 23-year-old local man, Imtiaz Ahmad Magray, drowned while attempting to escape security forces during an ongoing investigation. The dramatic moment, captured on drone footage by Gulistan News TV, shows Magray jumping into the fast-flowing Vishwa River, where he was later seen struggling before being swept away by the current.

Authorities confirmed that Magray, a resident of Tangimarg, had been in police custody since May 3 after allegedly confessing to providing food and logistical support to militants hiding in the nearby forest area. On May 5, while accompanying security personnel to a suspected hideout, he unexpectedly leapt into the river. His body was recovered the following day from the Adbal stream in Aharbal.

While security officials assert that Magray’s escape attempt was unprovoked and voluntary—as supported by the drone footage—the incident has drawn strong criticism from local residents and political figures. Allegations have emerged that Magray was in custody for two days, prompting suspicion about the circumstances of his death.

Former Jammu and Kashmir Chief Minister Mehbooba Mufti has demanded an impartial judicial investigation, citing a pattern of “serious allegations of foul play” in recent security operations, including a controversial encounter in Bandipora.

Here is the video:

The incident unfolds against a backdrop of intensified anti-terror measures in the region. Just two weeks earlier, on April 24, a joint operation involving the Indian Army, J&K Police, and CRPF dismantled a terrorist hideout in the same Tangimarg area. Items recovered included gas cylinders, food supplies, bedding, and a pressure cooker filled with chicken biryani—evidence allegedly linking the site to militants involved in an attack on tourists in Pahalgam. Those attackers reportedly included three foreign militants from Pakistan and two locals from Bijbehara and Thokerpora, Kulgam.

The release of the drone footage has intensified calls for transparency and accountability in security operations. While police have launched a formal investigation into Magray’s death, public distrust remains high, with many demanding answers over whether due process was followed in his arrest, custody, and ultimate demise.

As tensions simmer in Kulgam, the case underscores growing concerns over the balance between counter-terrorism and human rights in Jammu and Kashmir.

After Baglihar Dam, India Blocks Chenab River Flow to Pakistan via Salal Dam

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In a bold and controversial move, India has halted the flow of water from the Chenab River to Pakistan by closing all gates of the Salal Dam in Jammu & Kashmir’s Reasi district. The decision marks a sharp escalation in Indo-Pak tensions following India’s formal suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty on April 23, 2025, after a terror attack in Pahalgam that killed 26 tourists—an attack India attributes to Pakistan-based militants.

The Chenab River is one of three western rivers allocated to Pakistan under the 1960 Indus Waters Treaty. The treaty has, for over six decades, ensured water-sharing between the two countries despite multiple wars and diplomatic crises. India’s latest action comes on the heels of another stoppage in March 2025, when it diverted water from the Ravi River away from Pakistan.

Pakistan is heavily reliant on the Chenab River for irrigation, particularly during the Kharif season. The abrupt interruption of water flow threatens to devastate Pakistan’s agriculture, potentially exacerbating the country’s ongoing food and economic crises. Experts warn of ripple effects in the region, including food insecurity for millions of Pakistanis.

Locals in Reasi, where the dam is located, have largely welcomed the Indian government’s move. “The government has taken the right step,” said one resident. “After what happened in Pahalgam, Pakistan deserves a strong response.” However, some residents and environmental experts have voiced concerns about possible flooding in Jammu & Kashmir if dam waters are held and released suddenly, especially with the monsoon approaching.

Environmentalists are also raising red flags. The Chenab Valley, located in a seismic zone, already hosts over 70 hydroelectric projects, with seven more under construction. Sudden changes in river flow could lead to ecological instability and affect both human and wildlife populations.

Pakistan has condemned the move, calling it a breach of international law and urging global intervention. “This is a dangerous provocation that threatens the livelihood of millions,” said a senior Pakistani official. The Pakistani government has expressed fears of India using water as a weapon—an allegation that has long haunted bilateral relations.

The World Bank, a signatory and mediator of the original treaty, now faces mounting international pressure to step in. Analysts warn that the deepening water conflict may have far-reaching consequences, not only for the subcontinent’s stability but also for global diplomatic efforts in South Asia.

As the region braces for further fallout, the Indo-Pak water dispute underscores the volatile intersection of natural resources, geopolitics, and national security.

Pakistani National Caught Crossing Border Near Gurdaspur

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In a dramatic development along the Indo-Pak border, Punjab Police arrested a 24-year-old Pakistani national identified as Husnain, who was caught while attempting to cross illegally into Indian territory near Gurdaspur. The man was carrying a Pakistani National Identity Card and Rs 40 in Pakistani currency at the time of his arrest.

Initial investigations suggest Husnain is mentally ill and wandered across the border unknowingly, with no immediate evidence linking him to any terror outfit. However, his arrest has raised concerns, coming at a time of soaring tensions between India and Pakistan.

This incident follows the devastating Pahalgam terror attack, in which 26 civilians lost their lives, marking the deadliest such incident in Jammu and Kashmir since Pulwama in 2019. In response, India has taken a series of stringent measures, including suspending the Indus Waters Treaty of 1960, shutting the Attari border, revoking Pakistani visas, and closing Indian airspace to Pakistani aircraft.

Further complicating the security scenario, Punjab Police on Sunday arrested two Indian nationals — Palak Sher Masih and Suraj Masih — for allegedly leaking sensitive photos and information about military cantonments and airbases in Amritsar to Pakistan’s intelligence agency, the ISI. A third suspect, Harpreet, currently lodged in Amritsar Jail under an NDPS case, is expected to be brought on a production warrant.

Amid growing fears of cross-border escalation, blackout drills are being conducted in several Punjab border towns, including Ferozepur. Electricity in cantonment areas was cut for 30 minutes on Sunday night to simulate emergency preparedness during potential wartime scenarios. Announcements were made via loudspeakers to inform civilians in advance, and security was heightened throughout the region.

With tensions continuing to rise, authorities are on high alert, and citizens along the border have been advised to remain vigilant.

Indian Navy to Commission Talwar Class Frigate INS Tamal from Russia by May-End

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In a significant move to modernize and expand its maritime capabilities, the Indian Navy is set to commission the advanced Talwar-class frigate INS Tamal by the end of May 2025. Constructed at Russia’s Yantar Shipyard under Project 11356, INS Tamal is the latest in a series of next-generation warships aimed at enhancing India’s strategic posture in the Indo-Pacific region.

Derived from the Russian Krivak III-class, the Talwar-class frigates are tailored for long-range, blue-water operations. INS Tamal comes equipped with the BrahMos supersonic cruise missile system, developed jointly by India’s DRDO and Russia’s NPO Mashinostroyeniya. With its capability to strike targets on land and at sea at supersonic speeds, the BrahMos provides INS Tamal with a powerful offensive edge, significantly enhancing India’s naval deterrence.

The frigate also features a semi-stealth design with radar-reducing hull architecture, including outward flare and tumblehome structures. Its onboard TK-25E-5 electronic warfare suite and other advanced systems ensure resilience in contested maritime zones, making it capable of conducting multi-domain operations such as anti-submarine warfare, surface strike, and fleet defense.

INS Tamal is the sister ship of INS Tushil, which was handed over to India in September 2024. Although originally scheduled for delivery in February 2025, INS Tamal’s induction was rescheduled to late May. A 200-member Indian Navy team was deployed to Russia to conduct rigorous acceptance trials, ensuring the vessel meets all operational and safety standards before joining active service.

The acquisition of both frigates stems from a ₹8,000 crore defense agreement signed in October 2018 between India and Russia. A parallel ₹13,000 crore deal signed in November 2018 provides for the domestic construction of two additional Talwar-class frigates at Goa Shipyard, with delivery expected by 2027. These domestically built ships will incorporate a larger share of Indian-made systems, aligning with the government’s ‘Aatmanirbhar Bharat’ (self-reliant India) initiative in defense manufacturing.

Further enhancing INS Tamal’s capabilities, the Defence Acquisition Council approved the purchase of Shtil-1 air defense missiles on March 20, 2025. These will significantly upgrade the ship’s layered defense against aerial threats, bolstering the Navy’s overall combat readiness.

The commissioning of INS Tamal reflects India’s growing emphasis on maritime security, especially given evolving threats in the Indian Ocean and South China Sea. As geopolitical competition intensifies, the Indian Navy’s investment in advanced warships signals its intent to play a more assertive role in maintaining regional stability and protecting national interests.

Once operational, INS Tamal will contribute significantly to India’s strategic deterrence and power projection in the Indo-Pacific, reaffirming the Navy’s role as a key pillar of the country’s defense architecture.

Pakistani Cyber Groups Launch New Wave of Attacks on Indian Defence Websites, While MP-IDSA Denies It

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In a major escalation of hybrid warfare in South Asia, state-backed hackers from Pakistan—reportedly supported by Chinese intelligence—have launched a highly sophisticated cyberattack on two critical Indian defense institutions: the Military Engineering Services (MES) and the Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (MP-IDSA). The breach, reported on May 5, 2025, has triggered alarm across India’s strategic and defense communities, underlining the growing digital threats facing the nation’s military infrastructure.

According to official and intelligence sources, the attackers gained unauthorized access to classified networks, potentially exposing sensitive data related to military engineering projects and defense research. The MES plays a crucial role in building infrastructure for the Indian armed forces, while the MP-IDSA is a premier defense think tank influencing key policy decisions. The compromise of such institutions underscores vulnerabilities in India’s cybersecurity framework despite ongoing modernization efforts.

Hacking by Pak

This incident fits into a broader and increasingly aggressive pattern of cyber warfare involving India, Pakistan, and China. A 2023 study published on ResearchGate detailed the intensifying digital conflict in the region, noting that Pakistan has significantly enhanced its cyber warfare capabilities, often leveraging Chinese support to offset India’s technological edge and regional dominance.

India has been working to strengthen its cyber defenses. The Indian Army, in 2021, established a quantum computing lab at the Military College of Telecommunication Engineering in Mhow, Madhya Pradesh, to advance work in quantum cryptography. Cybersecurity labs and a cutting-edge cyber range have also been set up to train personnel in countering cyber threats. Yet, the latest breach highlights lingering gaps and the sophistication of the threats India faces.

The confirmed involvement of Chinese intelligence in aiding Pakistani cyber operatives marks a disturbing trend. Past reports, including a 2016 exposé by India Today, have documented repeated cyberattacks on Indian military networks by China- and Pakistan-based groups. In response, India had formed specialized cyber units under Military Intelligence, though their effectiveness has come under renewed scrutiny following this breach.

Hacking

The attack has prompted strong reactions from defense experts and policymakers, many of whom are calling for a more aggressive cybersecurity strategy and clearer frameworks to define and deter cyberwarfare. Some analysts have suggested that attacks of this nature, given their strategic implications, should be treated as acts of war.

While the MP-IDSA is denying the news, it could just be another propaganda by Pakistan.

Parallels are being drawn to the 2022 Russian cyberattack on Ukrainian military routers, which severely disrupted battlefield communications. As global cyber warfare continues to evolve, the Indian defense establishment is facing a stark realization: securing the nation’s digital borders is now as critical as securing its physical frontiers.

Pakistan Test-Fires Second Missile Amid Mounting Tensions with India

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Pakistan on Monday conducted a second missile test in just three days, firing a short-range surface-to-surface missile with a range of 120 kilometers as part of its ongoing military exercise ‘INDUS’. The launch comes amid rising tensions with India following the April 22 terror attack in Pahalgam, Kashmir, which killed 26 civilians and was blamed on Pakistan-backed militants.

According to the Pakistani military, the test was aimed at validating key technical parameters such as the missile’s advanced navigation system and accuracy. A statement from the Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR) noted that top military officials, including the Chairman Joint Chiefs of Staff Committee and the Chief of Army Staff, congratulated participating troops and emphasized Pakistan’s preparedness to defend its territorial integrity.

This latest missile test follows the launch of the Abdali ballistic missile defence system on Saturday, with a longer range of 450 kilometers. Although India has not officially responded to the missile tests, senior Indian defence officials have described them as “acts of reckless provocation.”

India’s military readiness has been heightened in recent days. Top commanders of the Indian Air Force and Navy have briefed Prime Minister Narendra Modi on operational preparedness, and Indian naval exercises are underway along the west coast.

In response, Pakistan has intensified its military mobilization, including live-fire drills in the Arabian Sea. Meanwhile, domestic political unity has also been bolstered, with all Pakistani political parties—including jailed former Prime Minister Imran Khan’s PTI—vowing a “robust response” to any Indian military action.

On the diplomatic front, efforts to cool tempers have gained momentum. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi visited Islamabad on Monday for talks with Pakistani leadership, aimed at promoting dialogue and preventing further escalation.

Russia, too, has offered to mediate. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov conveyed to his Pakistani counterpart that Moscow is willing to facilitate a political resolution, should both Islamabad and New Delhi express interest in such an initiative. The Russian Foreign Ministry said the offer comes in light of the April 22 terror attack in Pahalgam and the fragile regional stability that followed.

The escalating situation has sparked global concern, with foreign powers closely monitoring developments between the two nuclear-armed neighbours. As India grants its armed forces “complete freedom” to respond, the coming days are likely to be critical in shaping South Asia’s geopolitical trajectory.