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Reading: Is Field Marshal General Asim Munir Preparing Pakistan for a Long-Term Cold War with India?
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Home » Is Field Marshal General Asim Munir Preparing Pakistan for a Long-Term Cold War with India?

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Is Field Marshal General Asim Munir Preparing Pakistan for a Long-Term Cold War with India?

By Adhidev Jasrotia
Last updated: May 21, 2025
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Ayub and Asim

The elevation of Pakistanโ€™s Army Chief, General Asim Munir, to the rank of Field Marshal is a rare and consequential developmentโ€”only the second in the nationโ€™s history after Ayub Khan. Far from a ceremonial gesture, this move signals a deeper, strategic recalibration within Pakistanโ€™s military establishment. It reflects an intent to entrench a long-term, low-intensity confrontation with Indiaโ€”a Cold Warโ€“style standoff marked by asymmetric tactics, regional alignments, and a sustained ideological conflict.

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Contents
  • A Rank with Strategic Weight
  • Military Supremacy over Civilian Authority
  • Strategic Patience or Stealth Provocation?
  • Balakot to Operation Sindoor: A Pattern Emerges
  • China and the Strategic Axis
  • What India Should Watch Closely
  • Conclusion: Preparing for the Long Game

A Rank with Strategic Weight

Unlike Ayub Khan, who promoted himself to Field Marshal after seizing power in 1958, Munirโ€™s elevation has come from a civilian government that remains largely subordinate to the military. Crucially, Munir retains command of the army, unlike other countries where the Field Marshal rank is often ceremonial. This move institutionalises his influence and suggests a continuity of military-first governance, especially with respect to India.

Military Supremacy over Civilian Authority

The Pakistani army has long functioned as a โ€œdeep state.โ€ Under Munir, this role has become even more explicit. His trusted appointees, including Lt Gen Asim Malik as National Security Advisor, have sidelined civilian input in strategic decision-making. The promotion to Field Marshal effectively grants Munir institutional immunity and entrenches the armyโ€™s control over national security, foreign policy, and internal stabilityโ€”all of which revolve around India as the central threat.

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Reinforcing Anti-India Nationalism

Pakistanโ€™s military has historically leveraged the India threat narrative to justify its centrality. Munir is doubling down on this strategy. From public speeches on Kashmir as Pakistanโ€™s โ€œjugular veinโ€ to invoking the two-nation theory, Munir is actively shaping a national identity rooted in opposition to India. This narrative not only fuels public nationalism but also serves as a justification for the militaryโ€™s oversized budget and political role.

Strategic Patience or Stealth Provocation?

Munir appears to be adopting a doctrine of โ€œstrategic patienceโ€โ€”a Cold War-style policy of indirect engagement rather than full-scale war. Pakistanโ€™s focus under his leadership has shifted to hybrid warfare: cyber intrusions, information operations, drone incursions, and proxy militias. This strategy wears down Indiaโ€™s stability gradually, without overt aggression. The result is a simmering, sustained hostility with no clear endpointโ€”classic hallmarks of Cold War-style conflict.

Balakot to Operation Sindoor: A Pattern Emerges

Indiaโ€™s Balakot airstrikes in 2019 and the more recent Operation Sindoor in 2025 reveal the changing nature of Indo-Pak confrontations. These are no longer episodic flashpoints but carefully calibrated confrontations. Under Munir, Pakistan appears more willing to engage through attrition and ambiguityโ€”utilising non-state actors, disinformation, and deniable tactics to stretch Indiaโ€™s military and political bandwidth over time.

China and the Strategic Axis

Munirโ€™s strategy cannot be examined in isolation from Pakistanโ€™s growing alignment with China. With the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) as its economic spine and Beijingโ€™s military support as its shield, Pakistan under Munir is firmly embedded in a strategic axis aimed at constraining India. Joint military exercises, cyber cooperation, and Beijingโ€™s tacit support on Kashmir further tighten this alliance. Aided by China and possibly supported by groups like the Taliban, this trilateral front represents a concerted effort to encircle and distract India on multiple fronts.

What India Should Watch Closely

India must rethink its engagement strategy toward Pakistan. The threats are no longer limited to LOC shelling or diplomatic jousting. The real danger lies in Pakistanโ€™s growing capabilities in asymmetric warfareโ€”cyberattacks, drone-based infiltration, online propaganda, and proxy militias. Special attention must be given to border states like Jammu & Kashmir and Punjab, but the challenge is national.

Equally, India should reinforce its regional and global alliancesโ€”deepening cooperation with Quad members, expanding ties with Gulf powers, and enhancing maritime and cyber deterrence strategies.

Conclusion: Preparing for the Long Game

Asim Munirโ€™s promotion to Field Marshal is not merely an internal military developmentโ€”it is a deliberate strategic signal. Pakistanโ€™s military is preparing not for a traditional war, but for a generational rivalry with India that spans ideology, perception, and technology.

India must look beyond short-term flashpoints. The real challenge lies in countering a long-term, state-sponsored confrontationโ€”less visible, but no less dangerous.

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ByAdhidev Jasrotia
An expert in Indian defence affairs, military recruitment, and geopolitical strategy, brings a strong foundation in national security journalism. Recommended for the Indian Army with All India Rank 138.
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